FTSE MIB Daily Analysis2026-08-13

Session: Closing

Close
53.726,45
Change
0,05%
1W Change
0,08%
20D Change
2,58%
EMA20
52.955,49
EMA50
51.992,05
EMA200
48.096,40
RSI (14)
63,4
ATR (14)
568,51
Volatility (20D)
15,07%
Distance from 20D High
-0,58%
Advancers
Decliners
Volume
0
VIX
14,66
US10Y
4,65%
DXY
99,92

The index closed slightly higher, showing mild positive momentum after a modest weekly gain. Market breadth appears balanced, with no clear leadership from any sector.

Market Drivers

The move is driven by a generally stable risk environment, with volatility at moderate levels and no major catalysts. The index is supported by a positive medium-term trend, though the short-term momentum is subdued.

Trend Interpretation

The index is trading above its key moving averages, indicating a bullish structure. Momentum is positive but not overbought, suggesting room for further upside if conditions persist.

Risk Factors

Key risks include a potential pullback from recent highs, as the index is close to its 20-day high. Also, a rise in volatility or a deterioration in global risk sentiment could weigh on the index.

Bullish

In a bullish scenario, the index could continue its upward trajectory, supported by a strong trend and positive momentum. A breakout above recent highs would confirm further gains.

Neutral

In a neutral scenario, the index may consolidate within a range, with limited upside and downside. The market could wait for new catalysts to determine direction.

Risk

In a risk scenario, the index could correct lower, especially if it fails to hold above key support levels. A rise in volatility or a negative external shock could trigger a pullback.

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