Nasdaq 100 Daily Analysis — 2026-08-11
Session: Closing
- Close
- 29.525,48
- Change
- -0,33%
- 1W Change
- -0,70%
- 20D Change
- -0,21%
- EMA20
- 29.065,91
- EMA50
- 28.940,23
- EMA200
- 27.040,94
- RSI (14)
- 55,1
- ATR (14)
- 561,39
- Volatility (20D)
- 25,07%
- Distance from 20D High
- -1,41%
- Advancers
- 4
- Decliners
- 6
- Volume
- 1.169.824.000
- VIX
- 15,32
- US10Y
- 4,68%
- DXY
- 99,81
Sector Leaders
The index closed slightly lower, showing a mild pullback after recent gains. Market breadth was mixed, with a slight majority of decliners.
Market Drivers
The move was driven by profit-taking in technology stocks, while defensive sectors like energy and utilities outperformed, suggesting a risk-off tone.
Trend Interpretation
The index remains above its key moving averages, indicating a longer-term uptrend, but short-term momentum has cooled as the RSI has retreated from overbought levels.
Risk Factors
Key risks include rising bond yields and a stronger dollar, which could pressure growth stocks. Also, the recent decline in market breadth suggests weakening participation.
Bullish
In a bullish scenario, the index could resume its uptrend if buying interest returns in technology and other growth sectors, supported by a stable macro backdrop.
Neutral
A neutral scenario would see the index consolidating within a range, with alternating sessions of gains and losses as investors digest recent moves.
Risk
In a risk scenario, the index could correct further if selling pressure intensifies, especially if it breaks below its short-term support levels, leading to a deeper pullback.
Session: Midday
- Close
- 29.501,92
- Change
- -0,41%
- 1W Change
- -0,78%
- 20D Change
- -0,29%
- EMA20
- 29.063,67
- EMA50
- 28.939,31
- EMA200
- 27.040,70
- RSI (14)
- 54,8
- ATR (14)
- 556,47
- Volatility (20D)
- 25,08%
- Distance from 20D High
- -1,49%
- Advancers
- 4
- Decliners
- 7
- Volume
- 587.959.419
- VIX
- 15,44
- US10Y
- 4,68%
- DXY
- 99,82
Sector Leaders
The index is trading slightly lower in a mid-session pullback, with a modestly positive medium-term trend structure.
Market Drivers
The move is driven by a mix of profit-taking in recent winners and a defensive tilt, as market breadth shows more decliners than advancers.
Trend Interpretation
Price remains above key moving averages, indicating a bullish medium-term trend, but short-term momentum has cooled from overbought levels.
Risk Factors
A weaker US dollar and rising long-term yields could pressure growth stocks, while elevated volatility suggests potential for sharp swings.
Bullish
If buyers defend the rising trendline and momentum re-accelerates, the index could resume its upward path toward new highs.
Neutral
The index may consolidate in a range, balancing supportive trend signals against cautious sentiment and mixed breadth.
Risk
A break below the short-term support could trigger a deeper correction, especially if volatility spikes and defensive sectors lead.