Nikkei 225 Daily Analysis — 2026-08-10
Session: Closing
- Close
- 66.970,22
- Change
- 2,08%
- 1W Change
- 5,04%
- 20D Change
- -2,32%
- EMA20
- 65.534,42
- EMA50
- 65.521,61
- EMA200
- 58.353,71
- RSI (14)
- 54,2
- ATR (14)
- 1.911,58
- Volatility (20D)
- 36,97%
- Distance from 20D High
- -3,05%
- Advancers
- —
- Decliners
- —
- Volume
- 0
- VIX
- 15,42
- US10Y
- 4,67%
- DXY
- 99,76
The index closed with a solid gain, showing renewed buying interest after a recent pullback. Market sentiment appears cautiously optimistic.
Market Drivers
The advance is supported by improved risk appetite, possibly linked to easing volatility and a stable currency environment. Sector leadership is broad-based, though volume data is unavailable.
Trend Interpretation
Price is trading above both the short-term and medium-term moving averages, indicating a bullish structure. Momentum is positive but not overbought, suggesting room for further upside.
Risk Factors
Key risks include elevated volatility and a significant distance from recent highs, which could trigger profit-taking. Also, a rise in long-term yields may pressure equity valuations.
Bullish
If buying momentum persists and the index reclaims recent highs, it could extend its uptrend. Strong follow-through would confirm the breakout from the consolidation phase.
Neutral
The index may oscillate within a range as traders digest recent gains. Sideways movement is likely if volatility remains moderate and no new catalysts emerge.
Risk
A failure to hold above key moving averages could lead to a deeper correction. Rising volatility and a stronger dollar might weigh on export-oriented sectors.