Russell 2000 Daily Analysis — 2026-08-13
Session: Closing
- Close
- 3.052,85
- Change
- 0,24%
- 1W Change
- 1,71%
- 20D Change
- 2,63%
- EMA20
- 2.996,92
- EMA50
- 2.952,97
- EMA200
- 2.735,58
- RSI (14)
- 61,1
- ATR (14)
- 36,62
- Volatility (20D)
- 15,56%
- Distance from 20D High
- -0,42%
- Advancers
- 8
- Decliners
- 3
- Volume
- 0
- VIX
- 14,63
- US10Y
- 4,64%
- DXY
- 99,95
Sector Leaders
The Russell 2000 closed slightly higher, showing modest gains over the past week and month. Market breadth was positive, with more advancers than decliners.
Market Drivers
The advance was led by Communication Services, Real Estate, and Consumer Staples sectors, while top gainers included several large-cap tech names. The VIX remained low, indicating calm sentiment.
Trend Interpretation
The index is trading above its key moving averages, suggesting a bullish trend structure. Momentum is positive, with the RSI in neutral-to-bullish territory.
Risk Factors
Key risks include potential volatility from rising long-term yields and a strong dollar, which could pressure small-cap stocks. Also, the index is near its recent high, so a pullback is possible.
Bullish
In a bullish scenario, continued sector leadership and positive breadth could push the index to new highs, supported by low volatility and a stable macro backdrop.
Neutral
In a neutral scenario, the index may consolidate within a range, with alternating sessions of gains and losses as investors digest earnings and macro data.
Risk
In a risk scenario, a spike in volatility or a deterioration in market breadth could lead to a correction, with the index pulling back toward its moving averages.
Session: Premarket
- Close
- 3.045,48
- Change
- 0,61%
- 1W Change
- 0,87%
- 20D Change
- 2,33%
- EMA20
- 2.991,03
- EMA50
- 2.948,90
- EMA200
- 2.733,32
- RSI (14)
- 60,2
- ATR (14)
- 37,87
- Volatility (20D)
- 15,57%
- Distance from 20D High
- -0,18%
- Advancers
- 8
- Decliners
- 3
- Volume
- 4.574.170.000
- VIX
- 14,51
- US10Y
- 4,66%
- DXY
- 99,86
Sector Leaders
The index is showing a modest premarket uptick, supported by broad-based gains across several sectors.
Market Drivers
Technology leads the advance, with additional support from defensive sectors, while market breadth remains positive.
Trend Interpretation
Price action is above key short- and medium-term moving averages, indicating a constructive uptrend with positive momentum.
Risk Factors
Elevated volatility and a slight pullback from recent highs suggest potential for short-term consolidation.
Bullish
If momentum persists and breadth improves, the index could extend its upward move toward new highs.
Neutral
The index may trade in a range, digesting recent gains while maintaining its position above moving averages.
Risk
A deterioration in market breadth or a spike in volatility could lead to a pullback toward support levels.
Session: Midday
- Close
- 3.050,88
- Change
- 0,18%
- 1W Change
- 1,64%
- 20D Change
- 2,57%
- EMA20
- 2.996,73
- EMA50
- 2.952,90
- EMA200
- 2.735,56
- RSI (14)
- 60,8
- ATR (14)
- 36,62
- Volatility (20D)
- 15,56%
- Distance from 20D High
- -0,49%
- Advancers
- 8
- Decliners
- 3
- Volume
- 0
- VIX
- 14,71
- US10Y
- 4,64%
- DXY
- 99,95
Sector Leaders
The Russell 2000 is trading modestly higher in a constructive session, with a positive weekly and monthly trend. Market breadth is supportive, with more advancers than decliners.
Market Drivers
Technology and communication services sectors are leading the advance, while the overall risk appetite appears firm. The index is holding above its key moving averages, indicating sustained buying interest.
Trend Interpretation
The index is above its short-term and long-term moving averages, suggesting a bullish trend structure. Momentum is positive but not overbought, leaving room for further upside.
Risk Factors
A pullback in leading sectors or a rise in volatility could trigger profit-taking. The index is near its recent high, so a failure to break out might lead to consolidation.
Bullish
If the leading sectors continue to outperform and breadth remains positive, the index could extend its advance toward new highs. Sustained momentum would likely attract more buyers.
Neutral
The index may trade in a range, consolidating recent gains as investors digest the move. Volatility could remain moderate, with the index oscillating around its moving averages.
Risk
A deterioration in market breadth or a sharp increase in volatility could lead to a pullback. The index might test its moving averages, and a break below them would signal a deeper correction.
