Shanghai Composite Daily Analysis2026-08-14

Session: Closing

Close
3.927,51
Change
0,01%
1W Change
-0,32%
20D Change
4,34%
EMA20
3.905,78
EMA50
3.948,74
EMA200
3.956,30
RSI (14)
51,7
ATR (14)
52,33
Volatility (20D)
14,05%
Distance from 20D High
-1,03%
Advancers
Decliners
Volume
4.092.339.140
VIX
14,63
US10Y
4,64%
DXY
99,83

The index closed slightly higher, showing mild recovery after a weekly decline, with moderate volatility.

Market Drivers

The move is driven by a cautious tone in global markets, with the dollar and bond yields steady, while volatility remains low.

Trend Interpretation

Price is hovering near its short-term moving average but below longer-term averages, indicating a mixed trend with momentum slightly positive.

Risk Factors

Key risks include a potential pullback if the index fails to hold above short-term support, and external factors such as global bond yields and currency movements.

Bullish

In a bullish scenario, the index could build on its recent gains, reclaiming longer-term averages and extending the recovery if momentum strengthens.

Neutral

In a neutral scenario, the index may continue to oscillate within a range, with limited directional conviction as buyers and sellers remain balanced.

Risk

In a risk scenario, a break below recent lows could trigger further downside, especially if volatility spikes and global risk sentiment deteriorates.

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